College Football Weekend Preview - (Week 5)

College Football Weekend Preview - (Week 5)
September 26, 2012, 3:24 pm
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This week in the SEC four teams have bye weeks leaving uswith only six games and just four conference tilts. The addition of two teamsto the league has changed up the scheduling in 2012 and forcing some teams totake an earlier open week. However it should set up a more interesting Octoberand November chase for the conference race. Florida is the only team to have played threeconference games so far and with three wins they have equaled their total from2011. The East looks not only like it is better than last season, but maybebetter than the West. The Gators get LSU next week in a cross division game andAlabama and Tennessee will play the third Saturday in October. Alabama is stillthe leagues most complete team, but I am not one who is ready to write off LSUafter one tough win. The Tigers were on the road for the first time and thatexperience will help them in two weeks, when they go to Gainesville.Tennessee at Georgia-The Volunteers are looking for some magic from the past as they try to knockoff a top five team for the first time since 2004 when they beat the Dogs inAthens. I really believe Jim Chaneyneeds to be creative on offense and shorten the game a bit. Its hard to dowhen you have the best downfield passing attack in the league, but the defenseis not ready to slow down Georgia. Keep an eye on screens this week for Tennessee;if they can effectively use them maybe they can slow down the Dog front seven.I have really been impressed with Georgias offense. I dont think anyone sawthis kind of explosion through the first four games, especially without MalcolmMitchell and losing Isaiah Crowell this summer. They have great balance and ToddGurley is a star at running back. The receivers have over achieved in myopinion and the offensive line has played very well. There are some that thinkGeorgia is playing the best football in the country. The difference in the gamewill be the ground game of Georgia as they pull away in the 2nd halfbehind Gurley and Marshall. The Dogs lead the SEC with 14 rushing touchdowns.
Stats: Tennessee leads the SEC with 58 passes of ten or moreyards. Georgia is second with 44. TheVolunteers have only given up two sacks on the season. Georgia is 2ndin the country in yards per play at 7.79.
Ole Miss at Alabama-I think this will be a fun game to watch, just from the standpoint that theRebels bring the tempo offense to Tuscaloosa. Most teams dont want to tempoAlabama, because it could mean very quick three and outs and the defense wouldhave to be on the field right away. I think Hugh Freeze is playing with housemoney and will let it all hang out against the Crimson Tide. The Rebels willneed a healthy Bo Wallace if they are going to hang around in this game. Thematch up to watch is the SECs best rushing attack (Ole Miss 260 yds per game)versus the SECs 2nd best rush defense (Alabama gives up 62 yardsper game). The Tide defense has only allowed six runs of 10 or more yards thisseason, which is best in the SEC. AJMcCarron has spread the ball around with five receivers having at least fivereceptions and tight end Michael Williams has seven. Something tells me the Tide will focus on theground game and getting Eddie Lacy ready for a tougher October stretch. Alabama wins but Ole Miss will do someinteresting things on offense.Stats: TheCrimson Tide only has 4 explosive runs this season of over 20 plus yards.Last season they had 33. The Rebels already have 7 explosive runs after onlyhaving 12 all last season. AJ McCarron is the number one rated passer in the SECand his streak is now at 176. The Tide are a perfect 18-18 in the red zone thisseason. Ole Miss is 0-8 all time versus the 1 ranked teams.
Arkansas at TexasA&M-These two teams first met in 1903 and were members of the oldSouthwest Conference before the Razorbacks joined the SEC in 1992. The Aggiesare looking for their first SEC win and the Hogs are just looking for a win. Itmight help Arkansas to get out of town after three straight home losses. Ifthey are going to win any games they have to play better defense and get KnileDavis involved in the offense. Johnny Manziel has yet to turn the ball over inthree games as the starting quarterback for Texas A&M. He looks to extendplays with his feet and will give Razorback coordinator Paul Haynes fits if he doesntaccount for him. The Aggie defense has played better under Kevin Sumlinaveraging a nations best 5.33 sacks per game.Damontre Moore has posted 12 sacks in his last seven games for theAggies. Anytime you have Tyler Wilson and Cobi Hamilton you have a puncherschance and Wilson leads the SEC in yards per attempt at 11.4. I think theAggies win but this will be a close game in my opinion.Stats: Arkansashas created just two turnovers this season and they are -10 in turnover margin.The Aggies are third in the SEC in total defense giving up just 279 yards pergame. Texas A&M is also second inthe SEC in scoring offense at 45 points per game. The Razorbacks are last inthe SEC in pass defense and have given up 52 pass plays of ten yards or more.Quick ReadsMissouri needs awin and they need to fix the offense that is ranked 99th in thecountry. The key to the spread zone read is the qb run. Whoever they line up atquarterback versus UCF needs to run more. Franklin is averaging less than 2yards per carry after nearly getting 1,000 yards last season.LSU needs toclean up penalties and turnovers against Towson. They are also looking for someexplosive plays in their offense. Mettenberger struggled in the 2ndhalf last week, so his confidence needs to be built back up. LSU is 12thin the league in explosive plays which are chunks of 10 yards or more.South Carolinajust needs to take care of business. It will be interesting to see how muchSpurrier plays Lattimore and Shaw in this game with Georgia next week. I expecta vanilla defensive beating of Kentucky. Kentucky ishopeful Maxwell Smith can play this week and if not they may need to turn thereigns over to freshman Jalen Whitlow. Morgan Newton did not look like a seniorlast week and might not be a good option. Smith has played well when healthyand is 12-12 in the red zone this season.

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