he Atlantic Coast Conference schedule still features two regular-season games on the slate, and there is the ACC Tournament on the second weekend of March that could shift some things around, but as of Monday at 8:30 a.m. ET the ACC likely has four teams in, one that's almost in, one team on the bubble, and six with no shot at the NCAA Basketball Tournament.
In: Duke (4), North Carolina (5), Florida State (24), Virginia (40)
Almost In: Miami (48)
On the Bubble: N.C. State (67)
Out: Virginia Tech (102), Maryland (103), Clemson (138), Wake Forest (160), Georgia Tech (171), Boston College (232)
Number in parenthesis is current RPI ranking
For Virginia to finish the regular season with a winning record in conference play it will have to beat either Florida State or Maryland; not a sure thing. If the Cavaliers lose both games and drop their first ACC Tournament game, they may be in trouble. Otherwise, Virginia is pretty safe.
If the NCAA Tournament started today Miami would get an invite to the dance. Maryland, on the road, is Miami's worst loss this year and the Hurricanes have signature wins over Duke and Florida State. The only thing left for Miami is a trip to North Carolina State and a home game against Boston College. The Hurricanes don't necessarily have to win both games, but they can't lose to Boston College. If Miami wins out, it's in, no matter what. If the Hurricanes lose to N.C. State they'll need to win an ACC Tournament game to make it in. Lose to Boston College and Miami will play in the NIT.
North Carolina State is 7-7 in conference play and has lost four games in a row. This Wolfpack team was sitting pretty a few weeks back and now will have to scratch and claw to get into the NCAA Tournament. The Wolfpack have to beat Miami on Wednesday and Virginia Tech Sunday or make a title game-run in the ACC Tournament to be considered. Or to make it easier math, N.C. State needs four, maybe five, more wins prior to Selection Sunday, just to be on the bubble.