The 2013 Southeastern Conference Baseball Tournament begins on May 21, and with one week of regular season play remaining 10 teams have punched their ticket to Hoover, Ala. and four are still fighting for the remaining two spots.
There are three conference games left on everyone’s schedule and outside the four teams at the bottom of the standings still jockeying for tournament entry, there will be lots of fighting over this last weekend for seeding priority.
Outside the top two seeds, Vanderbilt and LSU, the eight others who are guaranteed a spot in the tournament, none have locked up a particular seed. Movement in the standings could come fast and furious next weekend.
The Top Seeds
Vanderbilt (24-2) and LSU (21-6) are absolutely locked in as the top two seeds in the tournament and also as the No. 1 and 2 seeds, respectively. Both teams will enjoy a day of rest Tuesday, the first day of the tournament.
1. Vanderbilt 24-2 (.923)
2. LSU 21-6 (.778)
Headed to Hoover
There are eight other SEC baseball teams that know they are in the conference tournament next week, but don’t know where they’ll be seeded yet. After the top two seeds (which are handed to the winners of each SEC division), there rest of the tournament bracket is seeded by conference winning percentage.
Here are the standings right now:
3. Arkansas 17-9 (.654)
4. South Carolina 16-10 (.615)
5. Ole Miss 14-13 (.519)
6. Mississippi State 14-13 (.519)
7. Alabama 13-13 (.500)
8. Florida 13-14 (.481)
9. Texas A&M 11-15 (.423)
10. Auburn 11-16 (.407)
Remember, all these teams are going to Hoover, but the standings could drastically change. Here are a few items of note about the possibilities of seeding:
- Arkansas, the current No. 3 seed, can’t fall lower than the No. 4 seed. The Razorbacks are guaranteed a day off on Tuesday, the first day of the tournament.
- South Carolina can land anywhere from the No. 3 seed to the no. 7 seed, but can’t fall lower.
- The remaining six teams can end up almost anywhere from the No. 5 seed to the No. 10 seed.
4 Fighting for 2 Spots
Kentucky, Missouri, Tennessee and Georgia are all still in the hunt for the final two spots in the SEC Baseball Tournament.
11. Kentucky 10-17 (.370)
12. Missouri 8-19 (.296)
13. Tennessee 7-18 (.280)
14. Georgia 5-19 (.208)
Georgia’s margin for error is minute. The Bulldogs must win all three of their remaining SEC games against Florida and then they need help. Georgia can’t climb into the No. 11 seed, 12 is as high as it can get it wins all three games. To make it into the 12 seed Georgia needs Missouri to lose all three games to Kentucky and Tennessee to lose at least two games to Texas A&M. If both happen, and Georgia sweeps Florida, Georgia makes it into the SEC Baseball Tournament.
As soon as UGA loses a game next weekend the Bulldogs are eliminated.
Tennessee, just like Georgia, can only climb as high as the No. 12 seed, and there are a number of scenarios in which the Vols can make it into the tournament.
- If Tennessee sweeps Texas A&M and Kentucky sweeps Missouri, the Vols are the No. 12 seed.
- If Tennessee sweeps Texas A&M and Missouri sweeps Kentucky, the Vols are the No. 12 seed.
- If Tennessee sweeps Texas A&M and Kentucky wins at least one against Missouri, the Vols are the No. 12 seed. Basically, the Vols need Kentucky to win just one game if Tennessee wins three.
- If Tennessee wins just two games over Texas A&M, they can still get into the tournament if Kentucky wins at least two games against Missouri. That’s the only way for Tennessee if the Vols lose a game.
- If Tennessee wins only 1-of-3 games against Texas A&M the Vols can still make the SEC Baseball Tournament is Kentucky sweeps Missouri. That’s the only scenario for Tennessee if it only wins one game next weekend.
- If Tennessee gets swept, there is no way it can qualify for the tournament.
Missouri and Kentucky are playing against one another, which really highlights that series for every one of the four teams at the bottom of the SEC standings.
- If Missouri sweeps Kentucky the Tigers are the No. 11 seed.
- If Missouri wins two games over Kentucky, the Wildcats would enter the tournament as the No. 11 seed and Missouri would get the No. 12 seed if Tennessee does not sweep Texas A&M.
- If Missouri wins one game against Kentucky, the Wildcats would enter the tournament as the No. 11 seed and Missouri would get the No. 12 seed if Tennessee only wins one game against Texas A&M.
- If Missouri gets swept by Kentucky, the Tigers only make it into the tournament if Tennessee gets swept and Georgia loses at least one game.
- Kentucky makes it into the tournament as soon as it wins one game. If the Wildcats win one game, or more, they also are the No. 11 seed.
- If Kentucky is swept by Missouri the Wildcats can only be bumped from the tournament if Tennessee sweeps Texas A&M.